DETSI Seasonal Variability Unit
The Seasonal Variability Unit (SVU) in the Department of the Environment, Tourism, Science and Innovation (DETSI) interprets seasonal climate outlook information for Queensland and currently provides:
SPOTA-1 Reports (click for more detail)
A statistical analysis of summer (November to March) rainfall probabilities for Queensland, issued as early as April and then updated each month from June to November (registration and login required).
Queensland Climate Assessment Reports (click for latest version).
This readily available report, issued monthly, provides information for Queensland related to:
Current Conditions - Relative to Historical Records
- Historical Rainfall Variability and Drought Situation
- Rainfall and Pasture Growth Update
- Season-to-Date Rainfall
Climate Drivers
- El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
- Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
Seasonal Rainfall Outlooks
- Long-Lead Summer (Nov to Mar) Rainfall Outlook based on SPOTA-1
- Three-month Rainfall Outlooks based on dynamical models
- Three-month Rainfall Outlook based on the SOI Phase system
Pasture Outlook
- AussieGRASS-based three-month Pasture Growth Outlook
Latest version
Previous versions
Access to the following (discontinued reports) remains available:
Monthly Climate Statements (August 2010 to October 2024)
Provided information related to ENSO and a SPOTA-1 based outlook for summer (November to March) rainfall.
Commentaries on Rainfall Probabilities Based on the Phase of the SOI (October 1999 to October 2024)
Provided a commentary on rainfall probabilities based on the Phase of the SOI.
SOI phase-based rainfall probability maps remain available.
