Seasonal Climate Outlook Message for March to June 2006

The bottom line

SOI Marginally Rises 15th March

As of the 15th March the 30day average of the SOI is plus 4.2.

Based the SOI phase at the end of February and historical rainfall records there is less than a 50% chance of getting above median rainfall during March to May across most of Queensland.

The lowest chance (20 to 40%) of getting above median rainfall can be found throughout central, northern and coastal regions. There is a slightly higher 50 to 70% chance of getting above median rainfall during March to May for the far western Darling Downs.